October 26, 2016
By TVA Editorial
For many years, this model has worked well. However, the pay-TV industry is entering a period of change, with operators in many markets facing a perfect storm of slowing growth, intensifying competition and business model disruption. During the last ten years, broadband quality and availability have steadily improved in many markets, providing consumers with access to a much wider range of video content and allowing new OTT entrants to retail premium TV and film content directly to consumers. Major telcos have aggressively entered the pay-TV market, capitalising on the expanding capabilities of their networks to offer video content to their customers and leveraging their strong balance sheets to build or buy market share.
In some markets, OTT streaming devices are rapidly gaining traction, putting pressure on prices and introducing new functionalities such as voice control and casting. Meanwhile, leading content and channel providers, once exclusive providers to the pay-TV industry, have begun developing their own direct-to-consumer OTT businesses, while also capturing a greater share of the value created by the pay-TV industry as competition for the most attractive rights intensifies.
It is easy to over state the impact of these developments, which are unevenly distributed across different geographies and which are at a relatively early stage in many markets. Around the world, pay-TV remains robust and often highly profitable, and many pay-TV providers have responded to increased competition by expanding into telecoms markets, scaling up their investments in content, developing multi-screen and standalone OTT offerings, and offering adjacent services, such as advanced advertising and data analytics.
Moreover, many pay-TV providers have made significant headway in migrating to more advanced technology platforms, embracing the shift from hardware to software defined platforms and networks, deploying hybrid, heterogeneous networks, and adopting virtualised solutions and advanced data analytics. Seamless connectivity between devices, unified service creation and management, customer-centricity and agile development are increasingly common across the industry.
Despite these positive developments, many industry executives believe that the industry is entering a period of disruption. The traditional vertically integrated pay- TV business model is becoming more challenging, as consumers gain access to a far greater diversity of services. Asia-Pacific is home to around half of all TV households globally. However, due to generally lower levels of pay- TV penetration and lower revenues per subscriber than in other regions, it accounts for less than 20% of global pay-TV revenues. The region’s OTT video industry is developing rapidly, with around 100 million people subscribing to online video services in 2015. However, at less than a tenth of the pay-TV industry’s value in 2015, the OTT industry still has a long way to go.
Our analysis covers 12 territories in Asia-Pacific (major markets excluding China), accounting for about 240 million pay-TV households. The territories we analysed are very diverse in terms of wealth, demographics, geography, penetration of broadband and pay-TV, and content preferences. However, at a high level, they can be split into two broad categories:
1 Advanced Asia – wealthier and more technologically advanced economies (e.g. South Korea, Japan and Singapore).
2 Emerging Asia – less wealthy and technologically advanced economies (e.g. Thailand, Indonesia and Vietnam) that are often growing at a faster pace than those in Advanced Asia.
Other defining characteristics of the pay-TV market in Asia-Pacific include:
+ Poor quality fixed broadband in Emerging Asia – the roll-out of fixed broadband networks has been slow in the emerging markets due to economic and geographical constraints (e.g. in Indonesia and the Philippines).
+ Some of the markets in Emerging Asia are mobile-first – smartphones are the primary way for consumers to connect to the Internet in some emerging markets (e.g. Thailand, Indonesia, the Philippines) due to poor availability and quality of fixed broadband.
+ High variation in pay-TV distribution technology across markets – due to lack of network infrastructure satellite is the primary pay-TV distribution platform in Emerging Asia (used by around 60% service providers), while in Advanced Asia cable and IPTV platforms tend to dominate (used by 40% and 37% service providers, respectively)
. + High levels of content piracy – although data about the extent of content piracy is limited, there is a strong consensus among industry participants that both online and physical piracy is a big issue across the region, particularly among the less wealthy social classes.
+ Strong variation in content preferences – Asia-Pacific is characterised by very high levels of cultural and linguistic diversity, with many consumers having a strong preference for content in a local language. We have distinguished between four broad categories of pay-TV service provider in Asia- Pacific : major pay
TV operators, major telcos, smallscale pay-TV operators and small scale telcos. Major and small-scale pay- TV operators account for the majority of the market (48% and 34% respectively, as per the exhibit below). However, the overall picture is slightly distorted by the pay-TV market structure in India, where 10 major pay-TV operators (e.g. Dish TV, Tata Sky, VideoCon) and a long tail of small-scale cable operators, taken together, account for around 150 million pay-TV households. In other territories, telcos account for a slightly larger proportion of the pay-TV market. As growth becomes more challenging and competition intensifies, innovation is becoming even more important to the pay-TV industry, as providers look to drive future growth, remain competitive and satisfy the increasing expectations of customers and investors. The industry no longer enjoys a monopoly on the provision of premium film and TV services and industry shifts have made it increasingly challenging for pay-TV providers to be a one-stop shop for TV services. The imperative to innovate is becoming more intense. Innovation can be defined in various ways – and is often criticised as being too broad a term to be truly useful. It can encompass improvements to internal business processes, incremental extensions to existing products and services, and new business models.
Although all of these are important, our focus is narrower – on the creation of viable new customer facing products and services that can deliver value to the pay-TV enterprise. In this sense, innovations may be new to the market or industry, but they may also be evolutionary, based on previous advances and existing offerings. Innovation may involve invention, but successful innovation requires other elements too, such as anticipating, testing and exploring demand, the development of viable commercial propositions, and good partnering skills. There is a strong consensus among pay-TV industry executives that innovation is becoming more important and more urgent for the pay- TV industry.
The majority of industry executives in Asia Pacific believe that innovation should be one of their company’s top three priorities going forward. Growing competition from existing and emerging players is perceived to be the main reason for service providers’ increased focus on innovation in both advanced and emerging Asia: